Moore's Law No More

Released: May 9, 2026 8:00 AM CST

Here is the forty-third episode of Quantum Foam, Moore's Law No More. We do a lot of things here relevant to computers. We want to know if Moore's Law will still be relative or if it will be no more. The number of transistors on a microchip approximately doubles every 2 years. Neutrinos are observed to have left-handed chirality. Moore's Law is an observation. It is technically an empirical relationship. Efficiency gains that can follow investment efforts is an example. We are mainly dealing with computers here. They are built from microprocessors. They are etched out of silicon, the same ingredient as in sand. We are interested in how Moore's Law affects the electronics that come out from year to year. The observation is named after Gordon Moore. He is the co-founder of Fairchild Semiconductor and Intel. Intel makes chips for the most powerful computers in the world. The prediction of the speed of the development of microcomputers has held since 1965. This has been used by the entire semiconductor industry to set targets for Research And Development. By comparison, we have 100 billion neurons in our brains and there are already more than 400 billion transistors on a single computer system. Transistors are basically the neurons of semiconductor computers. The transistor was created at Bell Labs in 1948. FET stands for Field-Effect Transistor. A MOSFET is a Metal Oxide Semiconductor Field-Effect Transistor. We want to know if this Moore's Law will still be relevant. Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Apple, Alphabet, NVidia, and Tesla can be looked at like the magnificent 7. Intel is still leading the way. Gordon Moore was invited by Electronics Magazine to make a prediction about microcomputers over a 10-year period. I believe that Moore's Law will not break down. We need more server racks of computers.

Even though our computers are pretty fast, we are still waiting on the bar during rendering. .mp3 conversions to .wav take a lot of computing power to render. According to Moore, he simply did a wild extrapolation in coming up with the time frame of our current understanding of the law. Dennard Scaling describes that as MOS transistors get smaller, their power densities stay constant such that the power use remains in proportion with area. V-Nand memory stacks memory vertically and allows for much more space to fit on a microchip. NVMe is the storage technology and V-Nand is the type of memory. The MOSFET is a type of FET that is fabricated with the process of oxidation on silicon. Moore's law was cited to be a competitive goal in the semiconductor industry. Some people think that Moore's Law is a self-fulfilling prophesy and that we created it and are following it. I think the law is just right because we are following it still. We are still finding ways to build computer architectures that are going to be increasing in speed. We were taking census of whether or not Moore's Law would hold true for the twenty twenties. Based on the Pandemic and everything else that happened, we didn't know if these devices were going to be sold every year and then discarded, and upgrading. Each time you get a new phone it becomes a little bit faster and fits a little bit more transistors on it. I think I have decided that for the next 20 years we can still follow the law. Moore made his statement based on emerging trends in chip manufacturing. Many industries have increased due to the available electronics that we can build. We want to know the implications of the future of Moore's Law. Practically every part of high-society benefits from this moving trend.